Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.571671 0.751342 0.956036 1.203201 1.490316 1.810258 2.190633
2025-02-16 0.271919 0.465148 0.721747 1.071727 1.521507 2.066100 2.761165
2025-02-23 0.134766 0.314982 0.597347 1.029580 1.635273 2.418371 3.471789
2025-03-02 0.058829 0.207334 0.489710 0.975998 1.714455 2.725098 4.144767
2025-03-09 0.030456 0.163285 0.463409 1.030178 1.942217 3.239857 5.115225
2025-03-16 0.011506 0.115919 0.409307 1.023229 2.072254 3.623258 5.926715
2025-03-23 0.005303 0.098308 0.408335 1.105227 2.343802 4.220013 7.053592
2025-03-30 0.001734 0.079533 0.395083 1.159260 2.571328 4.760787 8.120203
2025-04-06 0.000246 0.060611 0.370317 1.183445 2.747375 5.229473 9.097547
2025-04-13 NaN 0.040019 0.324524 1.151509 2.819598 5.538966 9.851798
2025-04-20 NaN 0.028726 0.301129 1.162509 2.965746 5.965802 10.786342
2025-04-27 NaN 0.020630 0.282455 1.179439 3.121492 6.411067 11.757287
2025-05-04 NaN 0.011040 0.240351 1.128633 3.147897 6.655856 12.447545
2025-05-11 NaN 0.005185 0.203902 1.081078 3.174065 6.899645 13.142859
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002695 0.185924 1.081296 3.295142 7.304996 14.095372
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000906 0.160263 1.048495 3.342900 7.586136 14.861200
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000637 0.164668 1.118090 3.614232 8.259673 16.253837
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000175 0.150432 1.117617 3.731862 8.669146 17.238773
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000143 0.160179 1.208494 4.057261 9.450617 18.825121
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000064 0.161689 1.268036 4.314923 10.118358 20.241003
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000008 0.155264 1.294913 4.499700 10.661239 21.466492
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.135702 1.261592 4.543060 10.952276 22.293375
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.127462 1.273630 4.692135 11.435964 23.436645